Predictions
Brian Gongol


Status Date Prediction Made Prediction Disposition
Uncertain 2008-07-12 China could break up within a lifetime
Wrong 2010-01-24 Twitter will be overtaken by another microblogging service by 2012 By 2012, the company engaged 16% of adult Internet users in the US, but no rival site had more users
Uncertain 2010-01-24 Facebook will no longer be the dominant social-networking site by 2015
Uncertain 2010-01-24 Google will possess less than 50% of the search-engine market by 2020
Wrong 2010-06-29 BP will change brand names by the end of 2011 Despite considerable damage to the company's reputation, the BP name remained in place
Correct 2012-02-20 Warren Buffett's annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders issued in 2012 will extensively discuss "intrinsic value" A section entitled "Intrinsic Business Value" was included in the letter
Mixed 2013-02-28 Warren Buffett's annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders issued in 2013 will extensively discuss "look-through" earnings The letter did contain about a page on the subject, but it was not the primary focus; instead, dividends were given extensive coverage