Brian Gongol Show on WHO Radio - September 12, 2018
Please note: These show notes may be in various stages of completion -- ranging from brainstormed notes through to well-polished monologues. Please excuse anything that may seem rough around the edges, as it may only be a first draft of a thought and not be fully representative of what was said on the air.
Breaking news to watch
Segment 1:
BUT FIRST: The opening essay
I have a hard time knowing what to call myself anymore. For a long time, I've liked "open-minded conservative", because I think it balances an interest in conserving what makes sense from the existing order with an open-mindedness to doing things differently when a better idea comes along.
But just like the word "liberal" went from meaning "someone who believes in Enlightenment values" to "left-wing", and now is being gobbled up by the alternative word "progressive", I'm not sure that people get the huge gap between "conservative" in the sense I've always understood it, and today's goulash of traditionalism, populism, nationalism, and reactionism that have tried to co-opt the name.
And it gets really hard to say when we're cruising full-bore for a disaster that's going to cost my family $12,000 a year.
I distill my general philosophy down to "make money, have fun, clean up after yourself, and mind your business". Give me free-market capitalism, personal liberty, a sense of civic duty and responsibility to the future, and a work ethic that would make Benjamin Franklin proud.
It's tough to square that with the news that the Federal budget deficit will hit $1 trillion this fiscal year.
There are about 328 million people in the US. That makes a $1 trillion deficit equal to about $3,000 per person. For a family of four, that's $12,000 in overspending at the Federal level each year -- or about enough to buy you a Kia Rio.
I have a problem with that. Because government spending is part of how we count the economy that everyone's been crowing about -- GDP is C + I + G + NX. That's consumer spending, plus investment, plus government spending, plus net exports. And we're getting a lot of words about the importance of "net exports" that misleadingly focus on subtracting imports as if that's "hurting" the economy. Imports are subtracted because they're also counted in the other parts, and we don't want to measure what we didn't produce. It doesn't hurt us to import...that's just a matter of balancing the accounting.
But you know what we don't consider? Government deficit spending means we're borrowing and will have to pay it back. Plus interest. And if the deficit is $1 trillion on an economy that's about $20 trillion in size, that's no small matter of overspending.
So I worry. I worry that we're not cleaning up after ourselves. We're handing off a crisis-level of overspending to future taxpayers (including ourselves) who don't have a real vote in the matter. And it's not like we're fighting an existential crisis like a world war.
I worry that we're not making as much money as we think. The borrowing isn't going into building a new Eisenhower Interstate System or putting up a national grid of 5G data signals. The budget is mostly entitlement spending, defense spending, and service on the debt. A debt that's $21 trillion, if you count all of it. And a debt that doesn't explicitly include future obligations we've promised but haven't started to pay yet.
I worry that our choices to have too much fun today (without minding our business) mean we won't have as much fun tomorrow. And that should worry us all. But I'm not sure it does, because in almost every direction I turn, I hear that we should spend even more on someone's new pet project (like "Medicare for all" or "free" college) or try to manipulate the economy to fit someone's outdated idea of what constitutes a worthy job. (I'm talking about tariffs.)
For the cost of $12,000 a year, I think I could do a lot to invest in my children's future. I think I'd be better at it than the Federal government. And I don't think I should have to put up a fight today just to protect the interests of my family tomorrow. But there's a whole lot of inaction, cowardice, pandering, and excuse-making to go around. And I've even started hearing a generational argument that everyone has to grab whatever they can while they have the votes before the next generational wave comes to take it all away.
Someone, please tell me: What's conservative about any of this? And does anyone care what that means anymore?
The damage being done by petulant trade policy-making hasn't all been done yet, and some of it will take the indirect form of good things that don't happen -- like investments *not* made in plants here in the US. A tip of the hat to @buffettOWH for this coverage. https://t.co/559EWXTOtR
— Brian Gongol (@briangongol) September 11, 2018
If something becomes uneconomical, it may simply not happen at all -- like Ford simply not selling a budget model of car in the US because there's no way to make it and sell it here at a profit. That's not "winning."https://t.co/AJgGQWnFXb
— Brian Gongol (@briangongol) September 11, 2018
Segment 2:
Now that everyone's on the hunt to find out who wrote the NYT op-ed containin the word "lodestar"...
Shared with endorsement: "But we also ask something else: that police officers be subject to the very laws they’re sworn to enforce." https://t.co/sca48w3WPN
— Brian Gongol (@briangongol) September 11, 2018
Segment 3:
Compulsory military service may create perverse incentives. https://t.co/XVC0hyRolD
— Brian Gongol (@briangongol) September 12, 2018
PLEASE SHARE:
— FEMA Region 9 (@femaregion9) September 10, 2018
Nationwide Wireless Emergency Alert Test
September 20, 2018
2:20 PM EDT
Your phone will buzz loudly with a presidential alert and will read: "This is a test of the National Wireless Emergency Alert System."
No action is needed.
More Info: https://t.co/mAcQxLR3rb pic.twitter.com/VnXublAWPq
Segment 4:
Texas can always be counted upon to breathe life into this line from Federalist Paper No. 17: "[T]he people of each State would be apt to feel a stronger bias towards their local governments than towards the government of the Union" https://t.co/Ypw43YS7cY
— Brian Gongol (@briangongol) September 9, 2018
Shared with endorsement: "But we also ask something else: that police officers be subject to the very laws they’re sworn to enforce." https://t.co/sca48w3WPN
— Brian Gongol (@briangongol) September 11, 2018
Segment 5:
Ed Wilson in studio to talk about Hurricane Florence
- Hurricane hunting is on his bucket list
- Rainfall rates with a hurricane -- how do they compare to the flash flooding we got mid-summer?
- This seems like a really strange phenomenon to have so many named storms at once -- is it?
- What do we not really "get" about hurricanes, living where there aren't any?
Segment 6:
Ed Wilson in studio to talk about Hurricane Florence
Segment 7:
Matthew Hennessey, author of "Zero Hour for Gen X"
- See book notes
- First 40% or so is a nostalgia trip
- Then the thrust of the argument: We're going down a bad path, and the sheer overwhelming size of the generations sandwiching Generation X is a danger
- The Baby Boomers don't care about the risk, and the Millennials have accepted the risk as worthwhile
Segment 8:
Matthew Hennessey, author of "Zero Hour for Gen X"
Unsorted and leftovers:
This week
By the numbers
Make money
Have fun
Clean up after yourself
Mind your business
Quote of the Week
The week in technology
Your role in cyberwar
Iowa news
Contrary to popular opinion
Hyperbole is going to kill us all
21st Century conservatism
Curiosity, competence, and humility
Have a little empathy
Inbox zero
Stop the deliberate ignorance
Tin Foil Hat Award
Yay Capitalism Prize
Capitalist solution of the week
Totally Unnecessary Debate of the Day
Kickers
One year ago
Five years ago
Ten years ago
Programming notes
Live read: iHeartRadio app
iHeartRadio app
Live read: Contests
Live read: Smart speakers (hour 1)
Smart speakers
Live read: Smart speakers (hour 2)
Smart speakers
Calendar events to highlight
Listen on-demand
- Podcast
- Podcast of this specific episode (forthcoming)
- Official station page for this episode (forthcoming)